This may be a Pareto moment or phase shift when the 80/20 substitutes the 20% for the 80 and a new 20 is establishing itself. Those in the latter group will perhaps further recognize a 10, 5, 2 or 1 for the key components of change. Of course, the dynamics of interaction are competitive and the rules are sometimes more of a midline than boundary, e.g. in administration. Location is significant, but can reflect, albeit by shadow, larger trends. A snapshot is useful, many of which can then be combined for an encapsulated view or map from which to navigate. A goal would be to complement reminders about what is absent with credible recommendations for solutions. Ironically, media is subject to propaganda by defending industries, so much data is yet to be discovered and discussed.
Economic reports have had about 10% unemployment for a couple of quarters so it did not worsen. Underemployment, or part-time, is at about 20% so 1 in 5 people are still not spending. Last year saw a slump in investment, so some promising industries and research are opportunities for further capitalization, e.g. mobile. Real-estate is expected to recover in 2011 so developers may make their moves soon. Approved national stimulus plans are spent. Governments that have taken control and done hiring may have sea changes in expenses. Smaller regions may implement further tax breaks to attract growth. Healthcare approaches are hot. Exports need to improve. Distortions in sustainability, e.g. risks of agricultural monopolization through GM crops, need to be addressed.
Startups will be increasingly popular to compensate for reduction in large businesses, handle marginal demographics, and to implement new ideas and business models. Plans are real-time so the presentation is more of a dashboard than fixed reference. Marketing uses all the latest tools. There are networks within networks for connections, referrals, directories, investing and support.
Also see startup
Networks need a new framework for filters. These are used to find, count, combine, prevent, or offload, and can be brokered. Significant features include sensors, mining, tracking, aggregation, measurement, correlation, visualization, analysis, alerts or APIs. Complex circuits can be made from connecting components. These may include devices, e.g. analogous to musical interfaces, tuners, mixers, and muxes. In news, Google implemented personalization. and Facebook patented feeds. Search is adding stars and location. Feeds are faster. Musical genre is sortable and videos listable. Blogger groups can be grouped or crowdsourced. Social networks populate the internet universe. In the beginning was email. The energy comes from people, data, and communication. Fact has a scale that varies along its synonyms. Maps relate ideas to activities by rules and probabilities. There are cultural splits, e.g. privilege, security or censorship, which evidence wear on barriers due to resource diversion costs and sustainability requirements. Idea models and prediction account for cultural hosting, and ideological flaws or advances. Disruptions may enter from the edges, middle, or disconnected sources. Assets may change value due to demographic or economic phases. Peripheral admin practice modifications may find their way to urban centers. Competitors may seek control of adversaries. Enterprises absorb public trends. Affinity-minded do-it-yourself fills in the blanks. Realtime systems combine machines and people into a massive lens to describe the world. Tools convert the natural arrow of time into other forms, e.g. radial, waterdrop, or symmetrical, to measure displacement, projection or entanglement among elements. Overwhelming amounts of scientific data seek solutions. Dark energy yields surprises across the board. Discoveries tend to trigger requests for blanket protections. In lieu of constantly assembling a previously committed national guard, it is yet to be seen whether automated protections can survive fitness tests due to velocity of action. Creative process is also able to bypass biases, connect the dots, and draw meaningful shapes from intricate backgrounds, often to the surprise of the dominant awareness. Proof is in play.
Also see filter.
Craft, cognition, and culture result in an idea artifactory for the next networks. Entertainment provides examples of how startups can go from zero to high-order venture quickly. There are other familiar combinations of elements such as:
It is possible to find solutions for rationality and emotions in harsh environments. Many difficulties exhibit redundancy in the sense of clueless repetition. These can be connected to eachother or the contextual cues for added complexity and attempts at consciousness. Consider the case of gifting a machine to be like an expert or proxy in time of need. Throw a well-designed website into the midst of a confused rabble and a compensatory order emerges and energy settles. The webserivce can add coverage in various forms, e.g. reporting, tools, blogs, apps, events and equipment. Domains include enterprise and government in addition to public. A webservice can be like an ideal group of people. If it is not a complete representation, it can at least attract such a class of individuals intent on outperforming it.
To improve sustainability, can reverse-engineer and adapt methods from the natural environment, translating across instances of earth platforms. Future advances may allow retrofit, synthetically or organically, to any device or person, and possibly other types of life, to extend intelligence. Semantic tools address problems and solutions or Q&A. often arise to bypass censorship or secrecy, allow tuning of overloaded content, and locate accuracies and explanations. An example is reversing the process of distilling content to synopsis, review and metadata, perhaps for specific audiences. Computational tools handle data, measurement, model, test, planning and prediction.
Blogs offer another way for social media to think about this since they emphasize reflection on the significance of things. Books and music are popular topics. Art emphasizes visualization, graphics, video, and perhaps enhancements to opensource editors. History may explore the requirements for surviving another decade of rise and collapse in terms of issues such as cause and controls. It can discover new institutions and professions, reevaluate historical trades and roles for new entrants, highlight tech themes and goals, and correlate complex types of entanglements. Business may review sustainability, costs, news, spinoffs, startups, innovations, alternatives, and industries. Similarly for health, e.g. determining how to subsidize cheap solutions that would be effective, but do not seem profitable. The various tools for notes, bookmarks, messaging, activity streams and other content can be folded into these and vice-versa. The good news is that these can be hosted locally as well as in the cloud so that economics experiments which are worth following can be featured.
Quality is facing new math. Calling the end of this lemonade phase of dependence or recovery is different for bankers than the public since the former get paid to make loans from the latter’s savings, pay, taxes, property, retirements or estates. Things probably have to hit extreme levels in order to affect fundamental practice. Stability is challenged by demographic regime change. Scalability requires sustainability. The faster growing economies may also sputter into episodes like the previously dominant ones.
Interim turbulence is inviting substitutes which may find niches in different locations. These test economies go from things like cashless services to stateless banks, some using means like social networks, and others unique goods. At any point, some attempts may prove successful enough that they can be generalized, if recognized by observers or the new types of ever-present surveillance. This may be useful if the stimulus faces intractable ineligibility, length or ineffectiveness. Larger systems risk implosion. The walled gardens of government are justified as protection, but may seem more accessible to the whims of unelected bureaucratic manipulators than the needs of stakeholders who expected more representation or participation, or deserved keener officials and results. GDP can be made to look okay if government spending increases to offset losses in other factors, however the theories of recent decades have been disproven to many, perhaps excepting the major media. Ideologies are subject to inertia before invalidation or integration.
An economy is basically administration whether home, community, government or global marketplace. The goals can be changed at any scale. Classic datapoints may include corporations, startups, spinoffs, classifieds, gifts, auctions, coops, volunteerism, recycling, government SysAdmin, cloud, philanthropy, or black markets seeking legitimacy. Current trends are toward networks and prosumers, though the internet model has challenges, e.g. cybersecurity, or censorship from China, , or Australia.
Some of the players are:
Also see alternative economies.
Constructive tone is recommended for smart markets after recent election upset, or perhaps it’s just a meteorological mashup. In any case, the Internet means business. Time may be seen as racing ahead, so minutiae may be interesting to futurist historians, e.g. regarding rise of the digital economy. Governments are obviously competing for control. In the US, large corporations seem to own the court so press probably begins to probe partisan boardroom battles. Consultants may emerge as staff is shed. After the ‘87 meltdown, Congress sought to maximize tax income and required incorporation for these individuals. Fed, state, local and global may look to some like orthogonal street signs. The adage seems to be that, after the rhetoric, government resists reductions in cost increases until that itself becomes the bubble. Workaround may be for organizations to handle reporting and persons ideas. (Attempt to keep straight-face.) Reputations and referrals then follow. Have previously discussed opportunities for interoperability in new official computer systems; this assumes any corruption is constantly cleared, however past pardons indicate things do not always progress in a direction of protecting the public. Take it to your leaders.
Wetpaint recently had issues regarding ads raising caution flags in browser, but was still usable. NFL playoffs haven’t been the same for the past couple of seasons without the Pats. Other than that, no China exploits to report. Activity at the outposts:
“You Are Not a Gadget”, Lanier 2010.
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